12/06/12
Sudan blog:
Preceding the recognition of South Sudan as
being an independent country, president Omar al-Bashir of Sudan announced in
the name of Sudan that “We will bless our brothers in the south over their country
and we wish them success”. However, a warning was sent from the Sudanese people
that foreshadowed the independence. The message was that neither one of the
countries should interfere with one nor the others’ affairs and that both
countries should stick to their borders, and especially, to keep them secure.
Knowing the geopolitical bearings between the two nations and their enduring
conflicts, the future between these two countries remains uncertain.
In the province of South Kordofan in
southern Sudan lies a burgeoning conflict between the SPLM (Sudan’s People
Liberation Movement) and the federal state of Koradafan leaded by Ahmad Haroun
who has already been indicted for crimes against humanity at the ICC for attacks
that took place in Darfur. The reasons of the fighting in South Kordafan are
several. According to Haroun, the conflict is religious. Arab-Muslim civilians
from the Nuba region in South Kordofan have been given weapons to supposedly
defend themselves against the growing threat coming from the South. Like
Haroun, many of his followers perceive this war as religious, and fight in the
name of God to protect their people. However, this is not the case and the
growing conflict is a complex mix of greed, retaliation and fear of the
bloodshed province. It is not an ethnic combat between black African Nubas
against Arabs.
The Nuba Mountains lie in the most
southern tip of Sudan at the border between Sudan and South Sudan. This region
is renowned for its abundant reserves of oil. The difficulty of the partition
between Sudan and South Sudan lies within the division of the oil fields (98%
of Sudan’s Government budget is paid from the direct revenue of its oil
fields). Today, 75% of the whole Sudanese region’s oil belongs to South Sudan,
and this is the primary factor in the fighting between the two nations. Sudan
wants more oil. As the conflict keeps on growing, the rebels will find more
reasons to continue fighting, such as the ethnic differences of the Nuba people.
The South Kordafan province has
always been neglected and underdeveloped by the Sudanese Government. This is
one of the reasons why the area is so prone to war. The Nuba people are significantly
affected by this conflict, Nuba homes are continually shelled and destroyed by
both Sudanese and South Sudanese forces. Development projects have also been
affected, and forced migrations are common. 28 000 people were forced to flee
the town of Talodi due to constant airstrikes from North Sudan against the
SPLM’s rebel forces in the region. Meanwhile the people are suffering and
hunger starts to set in the region.
Since partition, Sudan has been hostile
to South Sudan, and both countries have allied with the other’s rebels. A
recent report by the NGO, Small Arms Survey, suggested that the Sudanese
Government still shares close bonds with the rebels from the South, and Sudan
has been accused of using rebel armies from South Sudan and the province of
Darfur such as the SPLM, SSLA and the JEM. These groups have been seen in
Khartoum on a regular basis. Both countries have been exchanging arms, provoking
skirmishes by rebels in the other’s territory. The corruption between these two
countries does not favor a peaceful relationship for their future. The
population of the two countries is suffering and the countries are tearing
themselves to shreds. It is hard to imagine that they will ever stop fighting.
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